Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006257 0.006997 0.007803 0.008746 0.009824 0.011019 0.012450
2025-03-02 0.005118 0.006137 0.007339 0.008870 0.010782 0.013108 0.016176
2025-03-09 0.004409 0.005531 0.006927 0.008807 0.011301 0.014533 0.019103
2025-03-16 0.003793 0.004926 0.006393 0.008457 0.011330 0.015250 0.021113
2025-03-23 0.003426 0.004585 0.006141 0.008416 0.011721 0.016445 0.023889
2025-03-30 0.003261 0.004490 0.006195 0.008784 0.012704 0.018566 0.028290
2025-04-06 0.002939 0.004138 0.005846 0.008518 0.012702 0.019196 0.030438
2025-04-13 0.002675 0.003843 0.005549 0.008290 0.012717 0.019830 0.032645
2025-04-20 0.002500 0.003663 0.005403 0.008273 0.013052 0.020999 0.035909
2025-04-27 0.002413 0.003608 0.005438 0.008541 0.013875 0.023069 0.041074
2025-05-04 0.002270 0.003452 0.005300 0.008507 0.014173 0.024253 0.044747
2025-05-11 0.002159 0.003338 0.005218 0.008558 0.014619 0.025742 0.049229
2025-05-18 0.002014 0.003164 0.005033 0.008426 0.014749 0.026714 0.052938
2025-05-25 0.001925 0.003074 0.004982 0.008531 0.015336 0.028649 0.059066
2025-06-01 0.001815 0.002943 0.004849 0.008471 0.015595 0.029961 0.064043
2025-06-08 0.001672 0.002744 0.004583 0.008137 0.015276 0.030034 0.066164
2025-06-15 0.001588 0.002641 0.004477 0.008098 0.015545 0.031385 0.071594
2025-06-22 0.001567 0.002648 0.004570 0.008450 0.016660 0.034738 0.082700
2025-06-29 0.001464 0.002500 0.004367 0.008196 0.016456 0.035077 0.086013
2025-07-06 0.001373 0.002370 0.004189 0.007978 0.016307 0.035524 0.089708
2025-07-13 0.001316 0.002297 0.004113 0.007961 0.016604 0.037076 0.096837
2025-07-20 0.001294 0.002290 0.004165 0.008218 0.017554 0.040370 0.109808
2025-07-27 0.001241 0.002219 0.004086 0.008185 0.017822 0.041973 0.118008